With many Americans suffering from a holiday-spending hangover, it’s not surprising when we see a lull in spending in January. Coupled with abnormal weather conditions across the country and an uncertain economy, consumer spending is likely off to a slow start this month.

The Chain Store Guide (CSG) Retail Spending Index saw its largest decrease since July of 2015 when it dropped 1.4 points to 101.3 in December. This decline led CHG to forecast low spending in January and an overall slow start to 2016.

The long-term outlook for 2016 is more positive, according Kiplinger’s. They predict that retail sales will expand by a healthy 4.4% in 2016, up from 2015’s 3.2% growth.